A new poll published in the Mail on Sunday shows that one-third of Brits believe Starmer could be ousted within a year. Meanwhile, two-thirds of respondents feel his government has underperformed in its first six months. The polling numbers have sparked speculation, with some insiders suggesting that Starmer might call an early election in 2027 to avoid becoming a one-term prime minister.
Tim Shipman, the Sunday Times’ Chief Political Commentator, wrote that sources close to Downing Street have been considering an early election. According to one insider quoted in his article, “The feeling is Keir doesn’t necessarily want 10 years, but he does want two terms. I think 2027 is underpriced.”
The debate about Starmer’s leadership comes amidst internal dissent within the Labour ranks. Reports of dissatisfaction among senior cabinet members have surfaced, with some questioning Starmer’s direction and decision-making. There are rumors that figures like Angela Rayner and Wes Streeting could be positioning themselves as potential successors.
“Starmer’s leadership has not been effective,” noted Lord Ranger, a Conservative peer, during a panel discussion. “People want to see politicians deliver—smash the gangs, grow the economy—and so far, they aren’t seeing that.”
On the Labour side, former adviser Paul Richards dismissed the idea of an early election as “tap room gossip” but acknowledged the growing unease within the party. He emphasized Starmer’s victory in securing a large majority in the last election, arguing that his achievements thus far should not be underestimated.
The panelists also debated the influence of international figures like Elon Musk, who has recently waded into British politics with sharp critiques of leadership on both sides of the aisle. Musk’s controversial comments about Labour and his apparent support for Reform UK have added fuel to the political fire.
Starmer faces challenges on multiple fronts. His approval ratings are at record lows for a prime minister this early in their tenure. Additionally, the Labour government has struggled to maintain public trust amidst economic challenges and rising skepticism about its policy execution.
“Starmer’s ratings are troubling,” said Atassa Reem, a communications strategist. “If they don’t improve, the conversation about his leadership could come sooner rather than later.”
While some argue that Labour should focus on long-term plans and economic recovery, critics insist the party must act swiftly to regain public confidence. Starmer’s next steps will likely determine whether Labour’s strategy can weather the storm—or if further turmoil is inevitable.